The Con Game of Blame
Obama inherited Bush’s mess, period
As Barack Obama’s economic
advisers confront choices that vary from bad to worse in their mission
to revive the financial sector and the broader economy, it is worth
remembering that those choices were in essence inherited by the
president, who is still new to his office. Listening to his
critics, especially on the right, it would be easy to believe that the
president is personally responsible for ballooning deficits, gigantic
bailouts, ridiculous bonuses, nationalized institutions and careening
markets. It would be easy to believe but entirely false— and merely the
latest episode in an old political con game that is all too typical of
Washington.
Ever since Election Day 2008, the usual suspects
have been hard at work, deflecting responsibility from the Bush
administration (and the Republicans in Congress) for the catastrophic
effects of conservative policy enacted during the past eight years.
Within days after Mr. Obama’s victory, as stock prices fell, radio host
and ideological commissar Rush Limbaugh exclaimed that we were already
in the “Obama recession.”
In fact, the economy had been
shrinking for nearly a year by then, and the market was responding to
bad economic news rather than the election result.
It Was Reagan’s Recession, Not Carter’s
But
facts are inconvenient for propaganda—especially when politicians and
pundits are seeking to escape blame for policies that have failed.
Among
the boldest perpetrators of this con game over the past few decades is
Mr. Limbaugh, who shares with his fellow Republicans a peculiar method
of timing the blame for economic woe. When he was flacking for the
first President Bush back in 1992, he wrote: “The worst economic period
in the last 50 years was under Jimmy Carter, which led to the 1981-82
recession, a recession more punishing than the current one.” But of
course the president during the 1982 recession was not named Carter;
that president was the sainted Ronald Reagan.
In January 1981,
Reagan took the oath, and within his first three months had rammed
through a budget that contained his historic “supply-side” tax cuts.
Reagan budget director David Stockman had created computer simulations
supposedly showing that those tax cuts would result in 5% growth in
gross domestic product during the following to materialize as reality,
Mr. Stockman referred cynically to that prediction as the “rosy
scenario”—and admitted that it was essentially a fraud. Contrary to the
rosy scenario, 1982 was the worst year since the Great Depression, with
negative growth of 2.2%.
According to conservative theory, the mere
announcement of massive tax cuts for the rich by a Republican president
ought to have stimulated euphoria in the markets and rapid growth. And
according to that same theory, as explicated by Mr. Limbaugh, the
prospect of a Democratic president with a progressive agenda was what
drove the markets down last autumn.
But there is a double
standard at work here. When a Democrat is elected president, he is
responsible for economic contraction even if he has yet to be
inaugurated for three months. When a Republican is actually president,
he need not be held responsible, even well after he takes office.
If
that strikes you as inconsistent, then you are beginning to notice how
blatant deception passes for conservative ideology. But the deception
is even worse than it appears at first glance.
The same
Republicans in Congress and on the radio who lionize the late Reagan
now complain bitterly about the tax increases on the wealthy in
President Obama’s budget. What they never mention is that their
conservative idol, faced with the recession that they blamed on his
predecessor, likewise raised taxes during an economic slump.
Terrified
by the looming deficits that resulted from the supply-side tax cuts,
the Reagan administration rolled back many of the cuts just a year
after they had passed—instituting what then amounted to the largest tax
increase in American history. Those tax hikes took back about a third
of the cuts legislated in 1981. But that historic tax increase is never
mentioned when Republican legislators invoke Reagan—and they still love
to blame Mr. Carter for their hero’s recession.
So even as
critics roast President Obama and his Treasury secretary, honesty
requires that they acknowledge that the problems faced by President
Obama and Mr. Geithner are not of their making. He has held
office since Jan. 20—and if held to the Reagan standard, he deserves at
least a year to begin correcting the Bush recession.
2009 Creators Syndicate Inc.
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