This Is No Time To Panic
Skyrocketing energy prices and
plunging home values have driven the U.S. consumer confidence level to
its lowest point in 16 years and is impacting more than a few
retirement and savings accounts. But there is no reason to panic,
according to seasoned investment advisers.
“If your portfolio
is properly allocated, then you’re situated for a long-term standpoint,
full-market cycle. You have to expect things like this to happen from
time to time,” said Tom Hille, a certified financial planner at Robert
W. Baird & Co.
He says that if you regularly contribute to
your retirement accounts, then keep doing so. “It’s like you’re getting
the market on sale right now,” he said. “That’s the silver lining for
people contributing to 401(k) plans and such. Many sectors are
undervalued, but everything will regress back to the mean at some
point.”
Hille strongly encourages diversification. “You want
to be invested in many different sectors at once—small, medium and
large cap, international, fixed income,” he said. “I’m not one to make
any tactical bets on any part of the market, because nobody knows where
market is heading. Nobody knows what the next hot sector will be.”
Barry Arnold, chief investment officer, director and principal of
Arnold Investment Counsel Inc., says to invest for recovery.
“The
stock market is a discounting mechanism and is always looking ahead,”
Arnold said. “By the time Wall Street and government statistics figure
out that we are in a recession or a slowdown, we will already be coming
of it.”
Arnold predicted that the market is close to bottom
already, noting that recessions generally last about 11 months. He said
financials and home-builder stocks are undervalued. “Stocks are the
place to be,” he said. “We recommend 100% equities for retirement
savings, right up to the age of 60. You need to be in the stock market
longterm, and collect dividends and capital gains, especially when
savings rates as low as they are today.”



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